Official selections

THE BOARD DOESN'T
OWE US A BET.

The work can be right and the price can still be wrong. Model value is ranked below; only timestamped entries in the public ledger count as official 4M bets.

Week 7 card statusNo forced betsEvery price remains attached to its sportsbook and publication time.

Official card & public ledger

Posted before kickoff.
Tracked after it.

When a play goes live, its price and stake are locked into the public ledger. The result stays beside the original number.

Season record0–0

Net units0.00u

ROI0.0%

Open plays0

Locked	Matchup	Posted price	4M edge	Close	CLV	Risk	Result	Net

Week 7 edge board

Largest differences first.

The board compares the current stored sportsbook price with the independent 4M number. “Official bet” appears only after a position is locked into the ledger above.

RankMatchupOpening → current4M numberDifferenceStatus

Auburn at GeorgiaSat, Oct 17, 12:00 AM ET · DraftKings

Open +16.5Auburn +16.5 -108

4M spread+10.920–31 projected

Model Review85% inputs · 5.0 required

Notre Dame at BYUSat, Oct 17, 12:00 AM ET · DraftKings

Open +10BYU +10.0 -110

4M spread+5.329–24 projected

Model No edge85% inputs · 5.0 required

Penn State at MichiganSat, Oct 17, 12:00 AM ET · DraftKings

Open +6.5Penn State +6.5 -108

4M spread+2.525–28 projected

Model No edge85% inputs · 5.0 required

Nebraska at OregonSat, Oct 17, 12:00 AM ET · DraftKings

Open +21.5Nebraska +21.5 -112

4M spread+18.217–36 projected

Model No edge85% inputs · 5.0 required

Alabama at TennesseeSat, Oct 17, 12:00 AM ET · DraftKings

Under +56.5Under 56.5 -112

4M total+53.426–28 projected

Model No edge85% inputs · 5.0 required

Ohio State at IndianaSat, Oct 17, 12:00 AM ET · FanDuel

Over +48.5Over 48.5 -115

4M total+50.726–25 projected

Model No edge85% inputs · 5.0 required

Kansas at Kansas StateSat, Oct 17, 12:00 AM ET · DraftKings

Open +7.5Kansas +7.5 -112

4M spread+5.524–30 projected

Model No edge85% inputs · 5.0 required

Model difference is information—not an official bet. A position counts only after it is timestamped in the public ledger.

Record standard

The wins stay.
So do the losses.

The Card and the record now live together, so readers never have to wonder which picks actually counted.

01

Posted before kickoff

A play counts only when it appears on the official card before the game begins.

02

One unit means one unit

Net units use the posted odds and stake—not a flat shortcut.

03

Pushes remain visible

Every result stays in the ledger for a complete history.

04

Context stays attached

The original rationale remains even when the read is wrong.

A play must have

A number and a reason.

“I like this team” is not a handicap. Every official play includes the price, stake and betting case.

A pass can mean

The market got there first.

Sometimes the matchup read is strong and the wager is still bad. Those games remain research—not official plays.

See the full process ↗